On September 12th
Republican national security and foreign policy expert Andy Martin predicted “Benghazi-gate”
would “doom President Obama’s reelection.” While “Washington Republicans” were undermining
Mitt Romney on September 12th, Andy Martin stood shoulder-to-shoulder with the governor
and predicted that the “Benghazi-gate” controversy would defeat Obama. In his
provocative pre-election analysis, Andy now explains why “Benghazi-gate” is the
“neutron” issue in the presidential campaign. Andy also defends Mitt Romney’s nimble
decision to let surrogates and third parties carry the banner on Benghazi-gate.
Andy says his prediction on September 12th was the “call of a lifetime.”
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Party national security and foreign policy expert Andy Martin says his
September 12th prediction that “Benghazi” would defeat President Obama
is on schedule
is a strong supporter of Governor Mitt Romney
his latest detailed analysis, Andy explains why Benghazi has been a “neutron” issue
and how Benghazi will bring down the Obama
says “Benghazi” has seeped into the election
narrative without becoming a visible issue in the presidential campaign
defends Mitt Romney’s decision to downplay Benghazi in Romney’s debate prep and closing
calls his Benghazi analysis the “call of a lifetime”
(November 5, 2012) Republican
Party national security and foreign policy expert Andy Martin was the first Republican
to defend Governor Mitt Romney on September 12th and to predict the impact the attack
on the U. S. Consulate in Benghazi, Libya
would have on the presidential election. His views:
I. The background to my September 12th prediction
I first went to Libya
in 1971, soon after the Gaddafi regime took power. Over the decades since then,
I have kept a close watch over developments in Libya.
When the consulate was attacked on September 11, I immediately “connected the
dots” and issued my presidential election prediction and public support for
Mitt Romney on September 12th.
II. The criticism that the “media” are not paying attention
Partisans for an issue often believe they are receiving
insufficient attention for their cause. That appears to be the case with regard
to reporting on Benghazi-gate. But while others have criticized the “lack” of coverage
I have kept my mouth shut.
I have been monitoring the spread of Benghazi-gate through
the ether of the Internet. The spread of Benghazi-gate has been pervasive and
ultimately lethal for the Obama campaign. If an issue has genuinely “not been
covered,” then people should not know about it. But the people who need to know
about Benghazi know all too well
about the incident (see Part V below).
been both a highly visible issue and a “neutron bomb” that is exploding
President Obama’s reelection without living any visible impact. Fox News has
led the charge in exposing Benghazi-gate but other media have followed (see
links in part  below for a small sampling). Jeanine Pirro has been leading
the charge. Disputes with the CIA's version of events have been reported, as
well as criticism of the “cover-up.”
A story does not have to be “front-page news” to have a
dramatic impact, particularly when an issue has an esoteric appeal to a
specific group of voters such as military personnel and veterans and voters
focused on foreign policy. That’s why I now label Benghazi
a “neutron” issue. I predicted on September 12th that the story would doom
Obama’s reelection; that was the “call of a lifetime” for its prescience.
Since September Benghazi
has seeped into every area of the presidential campaign. The attack and the aftermath
and cover-up are mentioned constantly and, apart from the campaign itself, and
the candidates’ own tactics, Benghazi
has been a focal point of the last weekend of the election. What more can
III. Romney’s decision
to focus on Benghazi-gate
Governor Romney has come under considerable criticism for
not making “Benghazi” an issue in
the final debate, and for not raising the issue of Benghazi
in his speeches during the closing days of the campaign. Instead, surrogates
such as John McCain and Kelly Ayotte and others have continued to attack the
Obama administration for its Benghazi
Media often want a “fight.” That is why there were endless
predictions Romney would fire back at Obama in their final debate after the
confusion generated by Candy Crowley at the second debate.
But Romney proved a more nimble and disciplined campaigner
than anyone expected. Romney has stuck to his positive views, and his economic
arguments. In my opinion, Romney’s closing days of the campaign have been
have diluted Romney’s economic message and muddled the stream of positive
comments Romney is delivering. As a clear example of shrewd marketing and
candidate “positioning,” Romney’s team was totally correct and the media and
others were completely wrong. In fact, Romney’s clear and consistent positive message,
when juxtaposed with Obama’s negativity and querulousness, is a prime justification
for my belief Romney will win on November 6th.
In retrospect, Romney’s team’s counterintuitive strategy of assigning
Benghazi-gate to surrogates will prove to have been a brilliant decision.
Benghazi-gate will be on November 6th what I predicted on September 12th, the
issue that doomed President’s Obama’s reelection campaign.
has infiltrated the media to such an insidious extent that people ignore the
obvious. Saturday’s New York Post “Page Six” had a cartoon that showed President
Obama pursued by a Frankenstein “Benghazi.”
(I can’t find a hyperlink to the cartoon; if you find one, please send it to
me.) All aspects of the controversy have received more than adequate analysis
(see links below in part ).
But the article that crystallized the pervasiveness of the
Benghazi issue for me was an editorial written by Jac Versteeg raising doubts
about Obama’s handling of the Benghazi aftermath (see link  below). The Palm
Beach Post is a liberal newspaper in a very liberal part of a liberal region (South
Any Democrat should know that when Obama’s judgment is being
challenged in the Palm Beach Post, the president “has a serious problem.”
Anyone and everyone for whom Benghazi would be a decisive issue in voting is
now fully aware of what happened and how Obama evaded responsibility for his
feckless behavior in allowing besieged Americans to be denied any relief.
IV. Andy Martin’s lifetime of national security
Balz, who is now the national political correspondent for the Washington Post,
was my editor at the Daily Illini at the University
of Illinois. At the beginning of
1968 I walked into Dan’s cube and handed him a commentary based on my knowledge
of Viet-Nam. I predicted Khe Sanh would be a critical battlefield in 1968, and
that the A-Shau Valley
would become a renewed focus. Both predictions proved to be correct. Balz did
not run my column because he did not trust my expertise. Balz was not the last
person to ignore my work.
the 1979-1980 Iran hostage crisis I was the only American allowed into Iran
in 1980. President Carter’s staff ignored my analysis then.
the run up to the 2003 invasion of Iraq,
I predicted the invasion would weaken Israel
and strengthen Iran.
While living in Baghdad I became an
early, if not the first, critic of Paul Bremer. I predicted the insurgency when
the opposite view in Washington
was that the capture of Saddam Hussein ended the conflict. So while my
September 12th Benghazi analysis
was the “call of a lifetime,” I have made many similar “calls” during a national
security and foreign policy career that goes back to the 1960’s. Now you know
why my views and analysis are respected around the world. I have a proven track
record of getting the call right.
[Andy has over forty years of national security experience
with Asia and the Middle
East; he is regarded overseas as
one of America’s most respected independent foreign policy, military and
intelligence analysts. His analysis of the terrorist threat in Iran during the 1979-80 hostage crisis, and again in Iraq in 2003, were leading-edge predictions of what Americans
faced in the future.
Andy first went to Asia
in 1967 and since then he has been in Israel,
and Hong Kong. He was in Iran
in 1979-80, and has regularly returned to Southwest Asia
since then. Most recently he lived overseas in Iraq
V. The bottom line: Benghazi
undermines Obama’s reelection
President Obama thought his “killing Osama” meme would
encourage military veterans and retirees to vote for him. Benghazi
has turned the military and the veterans’ community against the president.
Retired veterans are concentrated in swing states such as Florida,
New Hampshire, Nevada
and Ohio. The manner in which
besieged Americans in Benghazi were
callously denied any rescue efforts has disgusted our military personnel and
veterans. Veterans’ votes will prove to be the margin of victory for Mitt
Romney in several swing states. Count’em. Ironically, and surprisingly for
many, Benghazi “grew” into a lethal
weapon against Obama, a self-inflicted fatal wound to his reelection. And I
predicted that on September 12th.
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ujntsman wasd reelected in November, 2008. A few
monrths later he resigned to serve
his president,” Barack Obama. SDo whyh was it so terrible that Palin resigned
and Hutsman served evenless of his secondterm? Can I say “double standard”
What os this show us? Whetyher thessue s
resigfnaitonsor religion,th emedia shamlessly create double standards tgo favr
theiiberal medioa pets (fulldisclosure; I am ot aliberalmedia pet).
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ABOUT ROMNEY’S RANGERS:
is led by Andy Martin, a legendary New Hampshire, New York and Chicago-based muckraker, author,
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home. Chicago Public Radio calls Andy a “boisterous Internet activist.” The
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than four decades of investigative and analytical experience both in the USA and around the world.
He holds a Juris
Doctor degree from the University of Illinois College of Law and is a former
adjunct professor of law at the City University of New York (LaGuardia CC,
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Labels: Andy Martin, Barack Obama, Benghazi-gate, CIA, Libya, Mitt Romney, New Hampshire, Republican national security expert, Romney’s Rangers